Trade Recaps · March 17, 2023 · 4 min read
Banking Crisis 2023: Unraveling The Dramatic Fall & Profitable Trading Opportunities

I’ve got a good one for you today. Today we discuss one of the wildest price actions in the Market. I bet the biggest penny stock news of the week for most people is the on going Banking Crisis and specifically FRC.
The recent bank crisis in the United States has brought to light the potential vulnerabilities in the banking system, with a particular focus on banks that face systemic risk in 2023. The crisis was triggered by the seizure of Silicon Valley Bank by regulators and subsequent news of potential liquidity issues that caused a bank run. President Biden assured everyone that the money was insured and the event was contained to just one bank. However, things escalated when Signature and Silvergate Bank faced potential failures, and the entire financial sector was hit hard after psychological shock hit Americans.
Fear spread across all banks after their clients heard on the news that they were only covered up to $250,000 by the FDIC insurance. Banks with a history of taking high-risk bets on high-risk assets were hit first, and the regional banks with smaller reserves and a large ratio of high-profile clients were the hardest hit.
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, also faced challenges and defaulted $500 million in government-backed securities. This had a significant impact on the broader economy, and regulators and investors put pressure on all banks to maintain risk and adequate liquidity. Signature Bank failed the test due to heavy investment in cryptocurrency, while Silicon Valley Bank had over 97% of its clients at risk, leading them to stop withdrawals. This is the bank that most start-ups and venture capitalists use, so they're too big to fail and need to be bailed out.
First Republic Bank (FRC), a private bank based in San Francisco that provides banking, wealth management, and lending services, was in a similar spot and its shares dropped 60% in one day. This was due to potential liquidity issues and systemic risk in the banking system. Until an article from Goldman Sachs spread a rumor that the FED would be forced to cut hikes because of banks, only the largest banks had enough reserves to bail out the regional banks and monopolize on the bad news. FRB was the first to be backed by JP Morgan Chase, which had a sharp reversal gaping up 200% overnight from its bottom.
The crisis was temporarily averted, but the systemic risk is still entrenched due to the large investments in CMBS during the free money era of the 10 years of QE. This triggered a hellish QT for anyone with significant investments in subprime auto loans, high-yield bonds, leveraged loans, and derivatives. Including large banks like Well Fargo, Citigroup and Bank of America. The crisis highlighted the potential vulnerabilities in the banking system and the need for a more robust and resilient financial system to mitigate systemic risks.
However, investors need to be cautious with these stocks as they can be volatile despite strong fundamentals. FRC is a large cap with a large float of 180.5M, and it trades with slow spikes and slow fades. It's crucial to lead with risk management and stay up to date to the latest new developments. .
Trust me, you're not gonna want to miss its developments or its analysis throughout the week in our live premarket-prep morning show.. . This could be a big deal since anyone can use these key factors in your next trade.
Other honorable mentions come from an active week in the industrials and financial sectors. Which has created several opportunities this week for Parabolic Shorts and multi day bounce shorts opportunities. You may be looking at your future resistance play for the coming months.
There are weren't many tickers in Penny Land this time around
However, if any of these stocks are something you may be interested in trading. You may do well to join our discord chat to check out our daily watchlist. Till next week. Happy Trading!
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